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Aaron Roth

46 accepted papers

2026

Replicable Reinforcement Learning with Linear Function Approximation

ICLR 2026poster

Replication of experimental results has been a challenge faced by many scientific disciplines, including the field of machine learning. Recent work on the theory of machine learning has formalized replicability as the demand that an algorithm produce identical outcomes when executed twice on differe…

Cited by 0SourceScholar
2025

Auto-GDA: Automatic Domain Adaptation for Efficient Grounding Verification in Retrieval-Augmented Generation

ICLR 2025poster

While retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) has been shown to enhance factuality of large language model (LLM) outputs, LLMs still suffer from hallucination, generating incorrect or irrelevant information. A common detection strategy involves prompting the LLM again to assess whether its response is…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2025

Conformal Language Model Reasoning with Coherent Factuality

ICLR 2025poster

Language models are increasingly being used in important decision pipelines, so ensuring the correctness of their outputs is crucial. Recent work has proposed evaluating the “factuality” of claims decomposed from a language model generation and applying conformal prediction techniques to filter out…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2025

Decision Theoretic Foundations for Conformal Prediction: Optimal Uncertainty Quantification for Risk-Averse Agents

ICML 2025spotlight

A fundamental question in data-driven decision making is how to quantify the uncertainty of predictions to inform risk-sensitive downstream actions, as often required in domains such as medicine. We develop a decision-theoretic foundation linking prediction sets to risk-averse decision-making, addre…

Cited by 3SourcePDFScholar
2025

High-Dimensional Prediction for Sequential Decision Making

ICML 2025oral

We give an efficient algorithm for producing multi-dimensional forecasts in an online adversarial environment that have low bias subject to any polynomial number of conditioning events, that can depend both on external context and on our predictions themselves. We demonstrate the use of this algorit…

Cited by 26SourcePDFScholar
2025

Intersectional Fairness in Reinforcement Learning with Large State and Constraint Spaces

ICML 2025poster

In traditional reinforcement learning (RL), the learner aims to solve a single objective optimization problem: find the policy that maximizes expected reward. However, in many real-world settings, it is important to optimize over multiple objectives simultaneously. For example, when we are intereste…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2025

Stronger Neyman Regret Guarantees for Adaptive Experimental Design

ICML 2025spotlight

We study the design of adaptive, sequential experiments for unbiased average treatment effect (ATE) estimation in the design-based potential outcomes setting. Our goal is to develop adaptive designs offering *sublinear Neyman regret*, meaning their efficiency must approach that of the hindsight-opti…

2025

The Relationship Between No-Regret Learning and Online Conformal Prediction

ICML 2025poster

Existing algorithms for online conformal prediction---guaranteeing marginal coverage in adversarial settings---are variants of online gradient descent (OGD), but their analyses of worst-case coverage do not follow from the regret guarantee of OGD. What is the relationship between no-regret learning…

Cited by 0SourcePDFScholar
2024

Fair Risk Control: A Generalized Framework for Calibrating Multi-group Fairness Risks

ICML 2024poster

This paper introduces a framework for post-processing machine learning models so that their predictions satisfy multi-group fairness guarantees. Based on the celebrated notion of multicalibration, we introduce $(s,g,\alpha)-$GMC (Generalized Multi-Dimensional Multicalibration) for multi-dimensional…

Cited by 4SourcePDFScholar
2024

Membership Inference Attacks on Diffusion Models via Quantile Regression

ICML 2024poster

Recently, diffusion models have become popular tools for image synthesis due to their high-quality outputs. However, like other large models, they may leak private information about their training data. Here, we demonstrate a privacy vulnerability of diffusion models through a *membership inference…

Cited by 9SourcePDFScholar
2024

Multicalibration for Confidence Scoring in LLMs

ICML 2024poster

This paper proposes the use of "multicalibration": to yield interpretable and reliable confidence scores for outputs generated by large language models (LLMs). Multicalibration asks for calibration not just marginally, but simultaneously across various intersecting groupings of the data. We show how…

Cited by 18SourcePDFScholar
2024

Oracle Efficient Algorithms for Groupwise Regret

ICLR 2024poster

We study the problem of online prediction, in which at each time step $t \in \{1,2, \cdots T\}$, an individual $x_t$ arrives, whose label we must predict. Each individual is associated with various groups, defined based on their features such as age, sex, race etc., which may intersect. Our goal is…

Cited by 3SourcePDFScholar
2024

Oracle-Efficient Reinforcement Learning for Max Value Ensembles

NeurIPS 2024poster

Reinforcement learning (RL) in large or infinite state spaces is notoriously challenging, both theoretically (where worst-case sample and computational complexities must scale with state space cardinality) and experimentally (where function approximation and policy gradient techniques often scale po…

Cited by 1SourcePDFScholar
2024

Reconstruction Attacks on Machine Unlearning: Simple Models are Vulnerable

NeurIPS 2024poster

Machine unlearning is motivated by principles of data autonomy. The premise is that a person can request to have their data's influence removed from deployed models, and those models should be updated as if they were retrained without the person's data. We show that these updates expose individuals…

Cited by 8SourcePDFScholar
2023

Multicalibration as Boosting for Regression

ICML 2023oral

We study the connection between multicalibration and boosting for squared error regression. First we prove a useful characterization of multicalibration in terms of a ``swap regret'' like condition on squared error. Using this characterization, we give an exceedingly simple algorithm that can be ana…

2023

Scalable Membership Inference Attacks via Quantile Regression

NeurIPS 2023poster

Membership inference attacks are designed to determine, using black box access to trained models, whether a particular example was used in training or not. Membership inference can be formalized as a hypothesis testing problem. The most effective existing attacks estimate the distribution of some te…

2022

Mixed Differential Privacy in Computer Vision

CVPR 2022oral

We introduce AdaMix, an adaptive differentially private algorithm for training deep neural network classifiers using both private and public image data. While pre-training language models on large public datasets has enabled strong differential privacy (DP) guarantees with minor loss of accuracy, a…

Cited by 64PDFcodeScholar
2022

Online Minimax Multiobjective Optimization: Multicalibeating and Other Applications

NeurIPS 2022accept

We introduce a simple but general online learning framework in which a learner plays against an adversary in a vector-valued game that changes every round. Even though the learner's objective is not convex-concave (and so the minimax theorem does not apply), we give a simple algorithm that can compe…

Cited by 19SourcePDFScholar
2022

Practical Adversarial Multivalid Conformal Prediction

NeurIPS 2022accept

We give a simple, generic conformal prediction method for sequential prediction that achieves target empirical coverage guarantees on adversarial data. It is computationally lightweight --- comparable to split conformal prediction --- but does not require having a held-out validation set, and so all…

2022

Private Synthetic Data for Multitask Learning and Marginal Queries

NeurIPS 2022accept

We provide a differentially private algorithm for producing synthetic data simultaneously useful for multiple tasks: marginal queries and multitask machine learning (ML). A key innovation in our algorithm is the ability to directly handle numerical features, in contrast to a number of related prior…

Cited by 35SourcePDFScholar
2021

Adaptive Machine Unlearning

NeurIPS 2021poster

Data deletion algorithms aim to remove the influence of deleted data points from trained models at a cheaper computational cost than fully retraining those models. However, for sequences of deletions, most prior work in the non-convex setting gives valid guarantees only for sequences that are chosen…

2021

Differentially Private Query Release Through Adaptive Projection

ICML 2021oral

We propose, implement, and evaluate a new algo-rithm for releasing answers to very large numbersof statistical queries likek-way marginals, sub-ject to differential privacy. Our algorithm makesadaptive use of a continuous relaxation of thePro-jection Mechanism, which answers queries on theprivate da…

2020

Guaranteed Validity for Empirical Approaches to Adaptive Data Analysis

AISTATS 2020poster

We design a general framework for answering adaptive statistical queries that focuses on providing explicit confidence intervals along with point estimates. Prior work in this area has either focused on providing tight confidence intervals for specific analyses, or providing general worst-case bound…

2019

Average Individual Fairness: Algorithms, Generalization and Experiments

NeurIPS 2019oral

We propose a new family of fairness definitions for classification problems that combine some of the best properties of both statistical and individual notions of fairness. We posit not only a distribution over individuals, but also a distribution over (or collection of) classification tasks. We the…

2019

Differentially Private Fair Learning

ICML 2019oral

Motivated by settings in which predictive models may be required to be non-discriminatory with respect to certain attributes (such as race), but even collecting the sensitive attribute may be forbidden or restricted, we initiate the study of fair learning under the constraint of differential privacy…

Cited by 202SourcePDFScholar
2019

Equal Opportunity in Online Classification with Partial Feedback

NeurIPS 2019poster

We study an online classification problem with partial feedback in which individuals arrive one at a time from a fixed but unknown distribution, and must be classified as positive or negative. Our algorithm only observes the true label of an individual if they are given a positive classification. Th…

Cited by 71SourcePDFScholar
2018

A Smoothed Analysis of the Greedy Algorithm for the Linear Contextual Bandit Problem

NeurIPS 2018spotlight

Bandit learning is characterized by the tension between long-term exploration and short-term exploitation. However, as has recently been noted, in settings in which the choices of the learning algorithm correspond to important decisions about individual people (such as criminal recidivism predictio…

Cited by 130SourcePDFScholar
2018

Online Learning with an Unknown Fairness Metric

NeurIPS 2018poster

We consider the problem of online learning in the linear contextual bandits setting, but in which there are also strong individual fairness constraints governed by an unknown similarity metric. These constraints demand that we select similar actions or individuals with approximately equal probabilit…

Cited by 188SourcePDFScholar
2018

Preventing Fairness Gerrymandering: Auditing and Learning for Subgroup Fairness

ICML 2018oral

The most prevalent notions of fairness in machine learning fix a small collection of pre-defined groups (such as race or gender), and then ask for approximate parity of some statistic of the classifier (such as false positive rate) across these groups. Constraints of this form are susceptible to fai…

2017

Accuracy First: Selecting a Differential Privacy Level for Accuracy Constrained ERM

NeurIPS 2017poster

Traditional approaches to differential privacy assume a fixed privacy requirement ε for a computation, and attempt to maximize the accuracy of the computation subject to the privacy constraint. As differential privacy is increasingly deployed in practical settings, it may often be that there is inst…

Cited by 116SourcePDFScholar
2017

Fairness in Reinforcement Learning

ICML 2017poster

We initiate the study of fairness in reinforcement learning, where the actions of a learning algorithm may affect its environment and future rewards. Our fairness constraint requires that an algorithm never prefers one action over another if the long-term (discounted) reward of choosing the latter a…

Cited by 241SourcePDFScholar
2016

Fairness in Learning: Classic and Contextual Bandits

NeurIPS 2016poster

We introduce the study of fairness in multi-armed bandit problems. Our fairness definition demands that, given a pool of applicants, a worse applicant is never favored over a better one, despite a learning algorithm’s uncertainty over the true payoffs. In the classic stochastic bandits problem we pr…

Cited by 588SourcePDFScholar
2016

Learning from Rational Behavior: Predicting Solutions to Unknown Linear Programs

NeurIPS 2016poster

We define and study the problem of predicting the solution to a linear program (LP) given only partial information about its objective and constraints. This generalizes the problem of learning to predict the purchasing behavior of a rational agent who has an unknown objective function, that has been…

Cited by 15SourcePDFScholar
2016

Privacy Odometers and Filters: Pay-as-you-Go Composition

NeurIPS 2016poster

In this paper we initiate the study of adaptive composition in differential privacy when the length of the composition, and the privacy parameters themselves can be chosen adaptively, as a function of the outcome of previously run analyses. This case is much more delicate than the setting covered by…

Cited by 122SourcePDFScholar
2015

Generalization in Adaptive Data Analysis and Holdout Reuse

NeurIPS 2015poster

Overfitting is the bane of data analysts, even when data are plentiful. Formal approaches to understanding this problem focus on statistical inference and generalization of individual analysis procedures. Yet the practice of data analysis is an inherently interactive and adaptive process: new analys…

Cited by 276SourcePDFScholar